Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Bailey 44.3% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 53.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 77.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 62.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Copp
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Copp
Bailey
Last 5: Copp 3-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Copp
Bailey
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
39.8% (83)
+13.8%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
27.3% (22)
+31.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
80.0% (5)
-34.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Copp
Bailey
Home
54.6% (346)
33.3% (48)
Away
51.8% (363)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Copp
Bailey
P1
55.3%
33.3%
P2
50.0%
47.2%
P3
55.1%
39.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |