Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Poitras 45.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 59.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 86.4%
Neutral zone
Copp 73.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Copp
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Copp
Poitras
Last 6: Copp 4-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Poitras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Poitras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
43.6% (388)
+8.8%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
60.0% (10)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
66.7% (3)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Copp
Poitras
Home
52.7% (3,528)
43.6% (195)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
44.7% (206)
By Period
Copp
Poitras
P1
53.0%
42.6%
P2
51.4%
45.5%
P3
51.4%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |