Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Poitras 45.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 56.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 86.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 76.8%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Copp
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Copp
Poitras
Last 6: Copp 4-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Poitras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Poitras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
43.3% (245)
+10.8%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
50.0% (6)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
66.7% (3)
-24.5%
On power play, Copp has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Poitras is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Copp
Poitras
Home
51.9% (511)
44.6% (121)
Away
55.3% (490)
42.9% (133)
By Period
Copp
Poitras
P1
54.1%
41.5%
P2
54.2%
45.4%
P3
52.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |