Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs McLeod 63.0% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 81.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 82.3%
Neutral zone
Copp 81.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Copp
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Copp
McLeod
Last 8: Copp 1-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Copp
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Copp
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Copp
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
64.8% (509)
-10.7%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
68.4% (19)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
65.3% (124)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Copp
McLeod
Home
51.9% (511)
64.3% (308)
Away
55.3% (490)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Copp
McLeod
P1
54.1%
62.9%
P2
54.2%
64.8%
P3
52.5%
67.9%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |