Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Frost 55.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 84.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 53.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 69.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Copp
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Copp
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
54.9% (701)
-0.6%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
60.8% (166)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
100.0% (5)
-54.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Copp
Frost
Home
54.4% (408)
56.0% (443)
Away
53.4% (410)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Copp
Frost
P1
53.3%
58.9%
P2
54.1%
55.3%
P3
54.9%
54.0%
OT
20.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |