Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Thompson 54.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 68.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.6%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Copp
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Copp
Thompson
Last 7: Copp 4-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Copp
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
55.5% (236)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
60.0% (5)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
56.5% (46)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Copp
Thompson
Home
54.6% (346)
53.1% (128)
Away
51.8% (363)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Copp
Thompson
P1
55.3%
59.0%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
55.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |