Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 53.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 54.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Copp
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Copp
Bjugstad
Last 10: Copp 2-8 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
5
3
Copp
Bjugstad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
6
Copp
Bjugstad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
4
Copp
Bjugstad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
48.6% (6,634)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
55.2% (829)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
44.3% (614)
+1.0%
On even strength, Copp has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Copp
Bjugstad
Home
52.7% (3,528)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Copp
Bjugstad
P1
53.0%
49.0%
P2
51.4%
49.1%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
39.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 17, 2023 | OT | 03:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 17, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 25, 2022 | OT | 04:12 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |