Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.8% vs Bonino 51.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 72.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Copp
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Copp
Bonino
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Copp
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
3
2
Copp
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (466)
51.7% (777)
+1.9%
Power Play
58.8% (119)
60.0% (50)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (124)
43.9% (98)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Copp is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Copp shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Copp
Bonino
Home
54.6% (346)
48.2% (461)
Away
51.8% (363)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Copp
Bonino
P1
55.3%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
49.7%
P3
55.1%
50.7%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |