Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 67.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 92.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 86.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Copp
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Copp
Buchnevich
Last 8: Copp 6-2 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
5
2
Copp
Buchnevich
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
37.6% (197)
+16.5%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
50.0% (6)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
0.0% (3)
+42.2%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +42.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Copp
Buchnevich
Home
51.9% (511)
43.0% (114)
Away
55.3% (490)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Copp
Buchnevich
P1
54.1%
40.0%
P2
54.2%
35.7%
P3
52.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |