Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 60.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 65.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.4%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Copp
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Copp
Carpenter
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
6
1
Copp
Carpenter
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
10
Copp
Carpenter
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
49.6% (2,027)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
41.5% (41)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
43.9% (467)
+1.4%
On power play, Copp has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Copp
Carpenter
Home
52.7% (3,528)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Copp
Carpenter
P1
53.0%
49.6%
P2
51.4%
47.7%
P3
51.4%
48.0%
OT
39.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 19, 2020 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |