Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Copp wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 81.6%
Defensive zone
Copp 69.9%
Neutral zone
Copp 63.2%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Copp
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Copp
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
48.8% (404)
+5.3%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
100.0% (1)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
43.6% (101)
-1.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Copp is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Copp shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Copp
Carpenter
Home
51.9% (511)
48.9% (274)
Away
55.3% (490)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Copp
Carpenter
P1
54.1%
51.9%
P2
54.2%
49.4%
P3
52.5%
41.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |