Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Copp wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.6% vs Kesler 52.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 57.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 65.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Copp
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Copp
Kesler
Last 5: Copp 4-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
1
Copp
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (461)
55.2% (567)
-4.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.9% (51)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (107)
45.0% (131)
+10.1%
On power play, Copp has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Copp is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Copp shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Copp
Kesler
Home
53.5% (318)
55.7% (388)
Away
49.8% (253)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Copp
Kesler
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
51.2%
52.5%
P3
53.3%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |