Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Copp wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 51.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 62.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 61.0%
Neutral zone
Copp 54.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Copp
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Copp
Kesler
Last 10: Copp 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
8
4
Copp
Kesler
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Copp
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Copp
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (5,453)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.0%
Power Play
58.1% (503)
60.7% (1,437)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (931)
50.5% (1,908)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Copp is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,468).
Copp shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Copp
Kesler
Home
52.7% (3,528)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.0% (3,359)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Copp
Kesler
P1
53.0%
56.5%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
51.4%
56.1%
OT
39.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |