Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.2% vs McLeod 50.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 64.7%
Defensive zone
Copp 67.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 50.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Copp
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
McLeod
Last 6: Copp 3-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Copp
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (833)
51.3% (628)
+2.8%
Power Play
77.5% (40)
68.3% (41)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (128)
30.6% (49)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Copp is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Copp shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Copp
McLeod
Home
51.9% (511)
51.5% (394)
Away
55.3% (490)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Copp
McLeod
P1
54.1%
51.5%
P2
54.2%
47.0%
P3
52.5%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |