Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 53.5% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 76.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 73.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Copp
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Copp
Kuraly
Last 9: Copp 4-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Copp
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (693)
51.8% (444)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
45.3% (150)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Copp is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Copp shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Copp
Kuraly
Home
54.4% (408)
54.6% (304)
Away
53.4% (410)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Copp
Kuraly
P1
53.3%
55.2%
P2
54.1%
45.7%
P3
54.9%
49.5%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |