Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.6%). Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 70.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 69.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Copp
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Copp
Kuraly
Last 7: Copp 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Copp
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
49.2% (901)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
68.2% (22)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
49.8% (219)
-4.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Copp
Kuraly
Home
51.3% (667)
51.7% (603)
Away
48.3% (632)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Copp
Kuraly
P1
50.2%
50.9%
P2
51.8%
49.5%
P3
48.0%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |