Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 46.8% vs Monahan 51.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 63.4%
Defensive zone
Copp 83.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 71.9%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Copp
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Copp
Monahan
Last 5: Copp 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Copp
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Copp
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (424)
52.1% (1,301)
-4.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.3% (342)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (53)
38.5% (96)
-2.7%
On power play, Copp has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Copp is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Copp shoots left. Monahan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,110).
Home / Away
Copp
Monahan
Home
46.2% (251)
52.7% (875)
Away
46.0% (235)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Copp
Monahan
P1
53.1%
51.0%
P2
41.8%
51.8%
P3
43.5%
50.9%
Final 5 min
39.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |