Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Monahan 53.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.8%
Defensive zone
Copp 76.8%
Neutral zone
Copp 55.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Copp
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Copp
Monahan
Last 10: Copp 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Copp
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
54.5% (231)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
58.2% (67)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
52.2% (23)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Copp
Monahan
Home
51.3% (667)
53.5% (144)
Away
48.3% (632)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Copp
Monahan
P1
50.2%
52.5%
P2
51.8%
50.9%
P3
48.0%
60.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |