Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.7% vs Monahan 51.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.1%
Defensive zone
Copp 59.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Copp
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Copp
Monahan
Last 6: Copp 4-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (136)
50.2% (1,117)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
55.5% (283)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (49)
56.8% (44)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Copp is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Copp shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Copp
Monahan
Home
58.2% (91)
50.1% (731)
Away
41.6% (101)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Copp
Monahan
P1
50.7%
51.3%
P2
50.0%
50.3%
P3
47.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |