Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 50.6% vs Nosek 51.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 54.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 51.6%
Neutral zone
Copp 55.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Copp
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Copp
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Copp
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Copp
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (559)
53.0% (400)
-1.8%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
33.3% (12)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
45.5% (44)
+2.1%
On power play, Copp has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Copp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Copp shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Copp
Nosek
Home
52.0% (348)
49.6% (244)
Away
49.1% (279)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Copp
Nosek
P1
48.4%
53.1%
P2
50.2%
51.4%
P3
53.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
50.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |