Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs Mitchell 49.8% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 75.2%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 78.4%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 74.5%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Ebbett
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ebbett
Mitchell
Last 5: Ebbett 1-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Ebbett
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Ebbett
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
45.9% (231)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
52.2% (67)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
65.2% (46)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Ebbett is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Ebbett shoots left. Mitchell is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Mitchell
Home
37.2% (121)
59.0% (134)
Away
41.8% (146)
43.8% (210)
By Period
Ebbett
Mitchell
P1
45.5%
48.0%
P2
40.2%
49.2%
P3
35.1%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
33.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | John Mitchell |