Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 75.6%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 77.8%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 78.0%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Ebbett
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ebbett
Mitchell
Last 5: Ebbett 1-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Ebbett
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Ebbett
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
51.8% (2,965)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.1% (196)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
44.1% (401)
-0.6%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Mitchell
Home
45.9% (314)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
40.8% (331)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Ebbett
Mitchell
P1
48.7%
52.0%
P2
41.9%
49.9%
P3
39.7%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
38.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | John Mitchell |