Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 46.8% vs Stastny 53.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 76.5%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 70.9%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 73.2%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Ebbett
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Ebbett
Stastny
Last 9: Ebbett 2-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Ebbett
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Ebbett
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (211)
52.2% (1,107)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
46.4% (138)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ebbett is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Ebbett shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Stastny
Home
49.2% (128)
52.5% (785)
Away
40.6% (101)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Ebbett
Stastny
P1
49.3%
51.3%
P2
44.0%
55.2%
P3
42.5%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |