Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ebbett 81.3%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 78.8%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 84.3%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Ebbett
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Ebbett
Stastny
Last 10: Ebbett 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Ebbett
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Ebbett
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Ebbett
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
54.6% (10,616)
-11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Stastny
Home
45.9% (314)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
40.8% (331)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Ebbett
Stastny
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
41.9%
55.4%
P3
39.7%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
38.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |