Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 46.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 80.1%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 79.6%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 80.6%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Ebbett
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ebbett
Kesler
Last 6: Ebbett 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Ebbett
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Ebbett
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Ebbett
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (211)
57.3% (1,022)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
54.9% (257)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Ebbett is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Ebbett shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Kesler
Home
49.2% (128)
58.6% (766)
Away
40.6% (101)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Ebbett
Kesler
P1
49.3%
58.9%
P2
44.0%
56.8%
P3
42.5%
57.5%
OT
66.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |