Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ebbett 81.3%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 85.9%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 84.2%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Ebbett
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ebbett
Kesler
Last 6: Ebbett 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Ebbett
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Ebbett
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Ebbett
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
56.4% (8,095)
-13.6%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Ebbett is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Ebbett shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Kesler
Home
45.9% (314)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
40.8% (331)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Ebbett
Kesler
P1
48.7%
56.5%
P2
41.9%
55.9%
P3
39.7%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |