Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 42.5% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ebbett 83.9%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 81.0%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 81.4%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Last 10: Ebbett 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Ebbett
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Ebbett
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Ebbett
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (227)
53.6% (392)
-15.3%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
47.2% (36)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
50.0% (28)
-3.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ebbett is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Ebbett shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Home
37.2% (121)
54.4% (237)
Away
41.8% (146)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Ebbett
O'Reilly
P1
45.5%
50.3%
P2
40.2%
51.4%
P3
35.1%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
33.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
39.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |