Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ebbett wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ebbett 76.4%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 73.3%
Neutral zone
Ebbett 76.8%
Result
Andrew Ebbett favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Last 10: Ebbett 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Ebbett
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Ebbett
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Ebbett
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
56.2% (15,260)
-13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
58.8% (3,445)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
51.4% (2,811)
-7.9%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ebbett is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Ebbett shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Ebbett
O'Reilly
Home
45.9% (314)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
40.8% (331)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Ebbett
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
41.9%
57.0%
P3
39.7%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
38.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Andrew Ebbett |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |