Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 42.9%). Look for Ebbett on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ebbett wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ebbett 44.2% vs Lewis 43.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 57.3%
Defensive zone
Ebbett 55.3%
Neutral zone
Lewis 56.2%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Ebbett
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ebbett
Lewis
Last 5: Ebbett 2-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Ebbett
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ebbett
2
1
Ebbett
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ebbett
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (570)
43.2% (2,347)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
51.9% (108)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (46)
38.6% (365)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Ebbett has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Ebbett is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Ebbett shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Ebbett
Lewis
Home
45.9% (314)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
40.8% (331)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Ebbett
Lewis
P1
48.7%
42.8%
P2
41.9%
43.9%
P3
39.7%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ebbett
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Andrew Ebbett |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |