Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ladd on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ladd 46.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 94.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Ladd
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ladd
Staal
Last 7: Ladd 5-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ladd
3
2
Ladd
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ladd
2
0
Ladd
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ladd
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (209)
56.0% (14,405)
-10.5%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
62.6% (1,691)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (39)
48.1% (2,841)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ladd is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Ladd shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Home / Away
Ladd
Staal
Home
51.7% (147)
56.4% (9,518)
Away
37.9% (140)
54.4% (9,484)
By Period
Ladd
Staal
P1
34.8%
55.1%
P2
48.1%
56.0%
P3
49.1%
55.0%
OT
28.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ladd
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.9%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |