Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ladd on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ladd 46.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 95.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Ladd
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ladd
Staal
Last 7: Ladd 5-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ladd
3
2
Ladd
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ladd
2
0
Ladd
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ladd
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (209)
55.9% (14,620)
-10.4%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
62.7% (1,745)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (39)
48.0% (2,896)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ladd is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Ladd shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Ladd
Staal
Home
51.7% (147)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
37.9% (140)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Ladd
Staal
P1
34.8%
55.2%
P2
48.1%
55.9%
P3
49.1%
54.9%
OT
28.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ladd
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |