Scouting Report
Andrew Ladd holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ladd wins 60.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ladd 51.6% vs Staal 51.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ladd 66.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.9%
Neutral zone
Ladd 54.2%
Result
Andrew Ladd favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Ladd
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ladd
Staal
Last 5: Ladd 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Ladd
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ladd
2
0
Ladd
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ladd
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (44)
52.3% (790)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
54.4% (114)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
45.0% (218)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Ladd has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ladd is 60.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Ladd shoots left. Staal is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Ladd
Staal
Home
60.6% (33)
54.9% (628)
Away
46.2% (26)
46.4% (530)
By Period
Ladd
Staal
P1
40.0%
50.3%
P2
57.9%
52.4%
P3
58.3%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ladd
46.0%▲
44.0%
54.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Andrew Ladd |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Andrew Ladd |