Scouting Report
Colin Wilson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Murray on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Murray wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Wilson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Murray 47.4% vs Wilson 46.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Murray 73.2%
Neutral zone
Murray 56.5%
Result
Andrew Murray favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Murray
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Murray
Wilson
Last 5: Murray 4-1 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Murray
1
0
Murray
Wilson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Murray
3
1
Murray
Wilson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Murray
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (50)
45.0% (845)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.4% (244)
-50.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On power play, Wilson has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots left. Murray is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Murray shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Murray
Wilson
Home
34.6% (26)
46.1% (531)
Away
50.0% (30)
46.1% (564)
By Period
Murray
Wilson
P1
36.0%
46.6%
P2
44.4%
43.2%
P3
53.8%
48.8%
Final 5 min
80.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Murray
46.0%▲
42.9%
42.9%
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Andrew Murray |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Andrew Murray |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Andrew Murray |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Andrew Murray |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |