Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Cirelli 49.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 64.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 79.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 55.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Shaw
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Shaw
Cirelli
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
1
Shaw
Cirelli
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
2
Shaw
Cirelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Cirelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
49.8% (5,684)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
56.9% (571)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.8% (1,196)
-1.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,851).
Home / Away
Shaw
Cirelli
Home
50.3% (1,812)
49.6% (3,763)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
49.1% (3,688)
By Period
Shaw
Cirelli
P1
48.5%
49.9%
P2
47.9%
48.8%
P3
48.2%
49.2%
OT
41.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |