Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Coyle 46.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 65.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 68.9%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Shaw
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Shaw
Coyle
Last 10: Shaw 2-8 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
5
Shaw
Coyle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Shaw
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
46.6% (663)
+3.6%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
35.6% (45)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
90.0% (10)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Shaw is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Shaw shoots right. Coyle is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Shaw
Coyle
Home
51.0% (361)
50.4% (367)
Away
49.3% (351)
42.5% (351)
By Period
Shaw
Coyle
P1
48.8%
46.8%
P2
49.5%
47.9%
P3
52.1%
45.9%
OT
50.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |