Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.8%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Coyle 48.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 78.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.9%
Neutral zone
Shaw 52.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Shaw
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Shaw
Coyle
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
3
Shaw
Coyle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
6
Shaw
Coyle
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
5
Shaw
Coyle
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
49.4% (7,856)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
50.0% (792)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.6% (1,090)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Home / Away
Shaw
Coyle
Home
50.3% (1,812)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Shaw
Coyle
P1
48.5%
49.4%
P2
47.9%
48.3%
P3
48.2%
48.8%
OT
41.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2016 | OT | 02:58 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |