Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 80.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 70.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 57.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Shaw
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Shaw
MacKenzie
Last 10: Shaw 4-6 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
7
3
Shaw
MacKenzie
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
6
Shaw
MacKenzie
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
3
Shaw
MacKenzie
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
54.9% (3,660)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
55.9% (102)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
46.7% (1,158)
-4.6%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
Home / Away
Shaw
MacKenzie
Home
50.3% (1,812)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Shaw
MacKenzie
P1
48.5%
51.9%
P2
47.9%
53.0%
P3
48.2%
54.0%
OT
41.9%
65.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 15:42 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 08:36 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |