Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Roy 45.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 71.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 69.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 79.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Shaw
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Shaw
Roy
Last 8: Shaw 6-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
44.8% (784)
+5.4%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
45.0% (111)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
42.9% (14)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Shaw is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Shaw shoots right. Roy is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Shaw
Roy
Home
51.0% (361)
45.8% (421)
Away
49.3% (351)
43.9% (488)
By Period
Shaw
Roy
P1
48.8%
44.9%
P2
49.5%
43.6%
P3
52.1%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Derek Roy |