Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 80.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 52.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 67.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Shaw
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Shaw
Rodrigues
Last 9: Shaw 6-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Rodrigues
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Rodrigues
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
46.2% (2,883)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
45.0% (298)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
42.9% (219)
-0.8%
On power play, Shaw has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (978).
Home / Away
Shaw
Rodrigues
Home
50.3% (1,812)
47.1% (1,820)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Shaw
Rodrigues
P1
48.5%
46.9%
P2
47.9%
46.1%
P3
48.2%
44.6%
OT
41.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 5, 2017 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |