Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Schwartz 50.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 59.2%
Defensive zone
Shaw 84.6%
Neutral zone
Shaw 63.9%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Shaw
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Shaw
Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
0
2
Shaw
Schwartz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
47.2% (651)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
56.2% (345)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.5% (46)
-1.4%
On power play, Schwartz has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Schwartz is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Shaw
Schwartz
Home
50.3% (1,812)
51.3% (526)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.6% (516)
By Period
Shaw
Schwartz
P1
48.5%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
49.7%
P3
48.2%
51.0%
OT
41.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Dec 28, 2013 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Jaden Schwartz |