Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Stoll 55.0% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 61.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 85.3%
Neutral zone
Stoll 70.0%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Shaw
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Shaw
Stoll
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
6
8
Shaw
Stoll
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Shaw
Stoll
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
7
3
Shaw
Stoll
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
56.0% (4,886)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
56.5% (496)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
50.7% (1,087)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stoll
Home
50.3% (1,812)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Shaw
Stoll
P1
48.5%
54.2%
P2
47.9%
55.8%
P3
48.2%
55.3%
OT
41.9%
52.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |