Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Spezza 54.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 52.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 52.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 52.3%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Shaw
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Shaw
Spezza
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
2
Shaw
Spezza
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Shaw
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
4
Shaw
Spezza
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
54.4% (7,990)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
56.8% (1,726)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
52.7% (643)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Shaw
Spezza
Home
50.3% (1,812)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Shaw
Spezza
P1
48.5%
55.7%
P2
47.9%
54.4%
P3
48.2%
54.1%
OT
41.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |