Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Beagle 56.7% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 95.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 58.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 76.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Shaw
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Shaw
Beagle
Last 9: Shaw 1-8 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
6
Shaw
Beagle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Shaw
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
57.5% (4,994)
-9.6%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
60.5% (119)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
54.2% (1,554)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Home / Away
Shaw
Beagle
Home
50.3% (1,812)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Shaw
Beagle
P1
48.5%
57.4%
P2
47.9%
57.1%
P3
48.2%
56.2%
OT
41.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |