Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs McClement 52.7% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 79.2%
Defensive zone
McClement 89.8%
Neutral zone
McClement 59.2%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Shaw
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Shaw
McClement
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Shaw
McClement
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
3
Shaw
McClement
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
54.4% (4,305)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
62.5% (104)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
47.2% (1,440)
-5.1%
On power play, McClement has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
Home / Away
Shaw
McClement
Home
50.3% (1,812)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Shaw
McClement
P1
48.5%
53.5%
P2
47.9%
52.0%
P3
48.2%
53.2%
OT
41.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 23, 2015 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jay McClement |