Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Duchene 54.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 80.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 90.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 82.0%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Shaw
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Shaw
Duchene
Last 10: Shaw 0-10 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
3
Shaw
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
10
Shaw
Duchene
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Shaw
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
53.9% (10,396)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
56.9% (1,665)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
49.1% (468)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Shaw
Duchene
Home
50.3% (1,812)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Shaw
Duchene
P1
48.5%
54.5%
P2
47.9%
54.5%
P3
48.2%
53.4%
OT
41.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 15:18 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |