Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 45.1% vs Stajan 46.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 74.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 78.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 61.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Shaw
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Shaw
Stajan
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Shaw
Stajan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
Shaw
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (430)
46.7% (615)
-2.3%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
52.9% (17)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
43.5% (138)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Shaw is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Shaw shoots right. Stajan is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stajan
Home
45.5% (224)
45.6% (379)
Away
42.5% (233)
46.8% (391)
By Period
Shaw
Stajan
P1
39.1%
44.2%
P2
41.7%
46.9%
P3
50.3%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |