Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Stajan 49.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 79.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 80.4%
Neutral zone
Stajan 56.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Shaw
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
15
(32 meetings)
17
15
Shaw
Stajan
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
8
2
Shaw
Stajan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
6
9
Shaw
Stajan
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
4
Shaw
Stajan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.2% (4,944)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
43.2% (176)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
46.1% (864)
-4.0%
On power play, Shaw has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Shaw
Stajan
Home
50.3% (1,812)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Shaw
Stajan
P1
48.5%
50.3%
P2
47.9%
48.5%
P3
48.2%
49.4%
OT
41.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |