Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Koivu 51.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 82.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 79.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 58.6%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Shaw
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Shaw
Koivu
Last 9: Shaw 5-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
4
1
Shaw
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Shaw
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
50.7% (1,073)
+0.9%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
65.3% (216)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
43.4% (286)
-43.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Koivu is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Shaw
Koivu
Home
55.2% (163)
50.9% (752)
Away
53.4% (163)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Shaw
Koivu
P1
56.7%
51.9%
P2
50.9%
50.3%
P3
55.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |