Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Koivu 54.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 67.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 63.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 51.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Shaw
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Shaw
Koivu
Last 10: Shaw 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
16
5
Shaw
Koivu
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
11
Shaw
Koivu
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
9
Shaw
Koivu
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
54.0% (9,465)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
58.6% (2,100)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
48.9% (1,688)
-6.8%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Shaw is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,540).
Shaw shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Shaw
Koivu
Home
50.3% (1,812)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Shaw
Koivu
P1
48.5%
53.5%
P2
47.9%
54.6%
P3
48.2%
54.0%
OT
41.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |