Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Thompson 52.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 86.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 56.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 69.5%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Shaw
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Shaw
Thompson
Last 7: Shaw 1-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Shaw
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
5
Shaw
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
54.4% (870)
-4.2%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
45.8% (24)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
45.1% (162)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Shaw is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Shaw shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Shaw
Thompson
Home
51.0% (361)
55.3% (510)
Away
49.3% (351)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Shaw
Thompson
P1
48.8%
53.5%
P2
49.5%
52.2%
P3
52.1%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |